| >>How do you really know how much you need? << It's always a guess as to how much you'll need. Everybody has different priorities; however, look at it in terms of today’s prices. Very few people (only about 25%, according to AARP) find they are spending less in retirement than when they were working. 50% are spending the same and 25% are spending MORE. The greatest expenditures were for medical (and remember, most of these people have Medicare coverage), housing, and travel expenses. Let’s look at a basic budget: you’ll have categories for housing/utilities/taxes, insurance, food, entertainment, medical, entertainment/travel, hobbies (I put this separate because people tend to GROSSLY underestimate how much they spend on their hobbies), clothing, gifts. Also, remember you’ll owe at least some income taxes, federal and/or state, as well. In the last year, or even the last two years so you can get a more meaningful average, how much did you spend in each of those categories? Total it up, and there’s your basic budget. If you want to travel, be realistic – a lot of small trips can equal the cost of one big budget-buster 4-star cruise, plus you’ll need to double that cost because you have to assume there’ll be two of you traveling. You’re also using today’s housing costs because even if you sell your house, downsize or rent, you will still have to pay something. Even with the mortgage paid off, there is still insurance, property taxes, and maintenance – and the older your house is, the bigger the maintenance hit becomes. So, assume you came up with a figure of $50,000 a year (remember, we’re using current year costs to make this easier). We’ll pretend you’re 65 and get your pension and Social Security. This means you’ve got about $3600 coming in, or $43,200/yr. Now, although it looks like you’re only $7K short, here is where inflation comes in. It’s well known that Social Security COLA increases fall short of the everyday reality of inflationary prices. Even if you’re 65, you will still have some 25-30 years in which your money must last. Even assuming average inflation, prices of everyday items will have doubled in 30 years. Your buying power is dropping every year, chipped away little by little. And of course, we’re making a huge assumption that (a) Social Security benefits won’t need to be cut back, and (b) Medicare (which is much worse shape than SS, and the Medicare D drug benefit has worsened things dramatically) will still be paying for the majority of your senior healthcare expenses. There are also a sizable number of people who have discovered the pensions they thought they were going to get, either were cut back or disappeared for one reason or another. Knowing these things, you decide you want to be conservative. You aim for enough savings to provide at least $35,000/yr (in today’s terms). You have educated yourself, and know that most financial advisors recommend no more than a 4-5% drawdown on a portfolio (your total retirement savings). On a properly invested, diversified portfolio, this allows you to continue to build principal so you don’t run out of money. A 5% drawdown of $35,000 would mean a portfolio of $700K in liquid assets. Because you have 20 years to retirement, you don’t need to save the entire $700K – although of course, we’d all love to have MORE than the minimum. But we have to start somewhere, so this is our lowest goal we’re aiming for. Because of compounding, a moderate rate of return should allow you to have to personally contribute only about 60% of that amount, or $420K. Divide that by 20 yrs, and you need about $21K/annually in retirement savings. Now, you already have $200K, so you’ve got a big leg up on your MINIMUM retirement portfolio. But obviously, you’re aiming to have the financial freedom to do more in retirement than you are currently doing, so you’re going to want to build the biggest amount of liquid assets you possibly can. That "extra" $200K is still only another $10K annually, assuming the 5% drawdown -- so although it’s a nice little extra amount, it’s not even $1K/mo BEFORE taxes. Hope this helps make it clearer for you. I just wish someone had explained this to us before we passed our 50’s, LOL! |