LED replcements for incandescents in near future?
Any predictions about where we'll be with respect to readily available Edison-syle LEDs in another six months? or another year? I'm strictly interested in screw-base replacements for common 120v incandescent bulbs - ones that will fit "traditional" household fixtures (like what Leviton calls a "porcelain celing lampholder").
I'm wondering if high-quality 400 and 800-lumen LED bulbs will likely be considerably cheaper in six months, and whether we'll see commonplace 1600-lumen LED replacements for screw-base incandescents? I'd like your educated guesses.